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Explore the evolving trade landscape between Mexico, the United States, and China, as we delve into the impacts of tariffs, the role of the USMCA, and projections for 2024 trade trends. Discover how Jillamy Logistics navigates these complexities, offering tailored solutions in import freight, logistics, and supply chain management to enhance efficiency and competitiveness in the global market.

20 Mar 2024

Connecting Markets: Supply Chain Management Strategies for Mexico-US-China Trade Relations


The global commerce landscape is constantly evolving, and one of the most significant changes in recent years has been the shifting trade relationships between Mexico, the United States, and China. With the rise of protectionist policies and trade tensions, it's essential to understand the current and future trends in this trade triangle.

In this article, we'll dive into the latest market analysis and projections for Mexico-US-China trade trends in 2024, with a focus on import freight and logistics.

The trade relationship between Mexico, the United States, and China has been significantly impacted by tariffs and trade tensions in recent years. In 2018, the US imposed tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Mexico and China, and China responded with tariffs on US goods, including agricultural products and automobiles.

These trade tensions have led to a decrease in trade between the US and China, with imports from China to the US dropping by 16% in 2019. However, Mexico has seen an increase in exports to the US, with a 10% growth in 2019.

The Impact of the US-China Trade War

The ongoing trade dispute between the US and China has wielded a significant influence on global trade dynamics, a trend projected to persist in the foreseeable future. With both nations imposing tariffs on each other's goods, other countries, notably Mexico, are seizing the opportunity to step in and fill the void. This shift underscores the importance of flexibility and innovation as businesses navigate this evolving landscape.

Despite forecasts suggesting a slowdown in export activity following Lunar New Year celebrations, industry experts predict an early onset of peak season because of ongoing disruptions in the Red Sea. As shippers explore alternative routes, staying agile becomes paramount to success.

In response to the trade tensions, Mexico has experienced a surge in exports to the US, particularly in the automotive and manufacturing sectors, as companies seek alternative suppliers to China. This trend is anticipated to persist, with projections indicating a 5% annual growth rate in trade between Mexico and the US by 2024.

The Role of the USMCA

In July 2020, the USMCA replaced the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) as the trade agreement between the US, Mexico, and Canada. The USMCA aims to modernize and strengthen trade relations between the three countries, with a focus on labor rights, environmental protection, and digital trade.

The implementation of USMCA has had a positive impact on Mexico-US trade, with the removal of tariffs on many goods and the inclusion of new provisions for industries such as automotive and agriculture. This agreement is projected to a $34 billion increase in US exports to Mexico by the end of 2024.

Projections for Mexico-US-China Trade Trends in 2024

Mexico's Growing Role in Global Trade

Mexico has emerged as a key player in global trade, with its strategic location, competitive labor costs, and strong manufacturing sector. In 2019, Mexico was the United States' second-largest trading partner, with a total trade value of $614.5 billion.

Projections show that Mexico's role in global trade will continue to grow, with a projected 3.5% annual growth rate in trade between Mexico and the US by 2024.

Mexico manufacturing

The ongoing trade war and the implementation of USMCA have led to a significant increase in nearshoring, with many companies moving their manufacturing operations from China to Mexico. This trend is expected to continue in the coming years, with a forecasted growth rate of 3.5% for Mexico's manufacturing sector in 2024.

This growth is driven by several factors, including the lower labor costs in Mexico, the country's proximity to the US, and the stability provided by USMCA. As a result, Mexico is expected to become an even more important manufacturing hub for companies looking to serve the US market.

The Role of Import Freight and Logistics in Mexico-US-China Trade

The Importance of Efficient Supply Chains

In today's global economy, efficient supply chains are crucial for businesses to remain competitive. With the rise of e-commerce and the increasing demand for fast delivery, companies are looking for ways to streamline their supply chains and reduce costs.

Import freight and logistics play a vital role in this process, as they are responsible for transporting goods from one country to another. With the rise of Mexico-US-China trade, the demand for efficient import freight and logistics services is expected to increase in the coming years.

The Role of Transportation Solutions in Facilitating Trade

The Impact of Container Shipping

Container shipping plays a vital role in facilitating trade between Mexico, the US, and China. With the increase in nearshoring and cross-border ecommerce, there has been a surge in demand for container shipping services.

According to a report by the World Shipping Council, Mexico's container shipping market is expected to grow by 3.5% annually, reaching a value of $1.2 billion by the end 2024. This growth is driven by the increasing demand for container shipping services between Mexico and the US, as well as the country's strategic location for transshipment.

The Need for Efficient Logistics and Supply Chain Management

As trade between Mexico, the US, and China continues to grow, the need for efficient logistics and supply chain management becomes even more crucial. With the rise of ecommerce and nearshoring, companies need to have a robust logistics and supply chain infrastructure in place to ensure timely delivery of goods.

This is where transportation solutions come into play. By leveraging technology and data-driven decision-making, transportation solutions can help companies optimize their supply chain and improve efficiency. This is especially important in the current trade landscape, where speed and reliability are key to staying competitive.

The Role of E-commerce

The rise of e-commerce has had a significant impact on global trade, and this trend is expected to continue in the coming years. With the increasing popularity of online shopping, there has been a surge in cross-border e-commerce, particularly between the US and China.

According to a report by DHL, cross-border ecommerce between Mexico and the US is expected to grow by 25% annually, reaching a value of $47 billion by the end 2024. This growth is driven by the increasing demand for US products in Mexico and the ease of online shopping.

Mexico is also seeing a rise in e-commerce, with projections of a 12% annual growth rate in online retail sales by 2024. This growth is expected to have a significant impact on import freight and logistics, as companies look for efficient ways to transport goods from China to Mexico and the US.

International Freight Solutions

The Impact of Technology

Technology has revolutionized the import freight and logistics industry, making it more efficient and cost-effective. With the rise of automation, artificial intelligence, and data analytics, companies can now track shipments in real-time, optimize routes, and reduce delivery times.

In the coming years, technology is expected to play an even more significant role in import freight and logistics, with the rise of blockchain technology and the Internet of Things (IoT). These advancements will further streamline supply chains and reduce costs for businesses.

Investing in Technology

As technology continues to play a significant role in import freight and logistics, businesses must invest in the right tools and software to streamline their supply chains. Supply chain management software, data analytics, and automation can help reduce costs and improve efficiency.

How Can Businesses Prepare for Mexico-US-China Trade Trends in 2024?

Diversifying Supply Chains

With the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, it's essential for businesses to diversify their supply chains to reduce their reliance on one country. This strategy can help mitigate the impact of tariffs and trade tensions and ensure a steady supply of goods.

Partnering with Reliable Import Freight and Logistics Providers

Jillamy steps up as a crucial ally in this journey, offering a host of benefits to streamline supply chain operations and boost efficiency. With expertise in container shipping, cross-border logistics, warehousing, and fulfillment services, Jillamy is well-positioned to optimize trade flows between these vital trading partners. 

Leveraging its extensive network and strategic insights, Jillamy ensures smooth transportation and storage of goods across borders. By utilizing innovative transportation solutions and cutting-edge technology, Jillamy helps businesses overcome logistical hurdles, cut costs, speed up delivery times, and efficiently manage inventory, giving them a competitive edge in the global market.

Additionally, Jillamy distinguishes itself through its unwavering dedication to reliability and customer satisfaction, providing tailored solutions to fit each client's unique needs. Whether it's facilitating container shipping between Mexico, the US, and China, managing cross-border e-commerce logistics, or offering warehousing and fulfillment services, Jillamy offers comprehensive support to streamline supply chain operations and drive business growth.

With a strong emphasis on efficiency, transparency, and integrity, Jillamy emerges as the top choice for businesses navigating the complexities of international trade. By entrusting their logistics, warehousing, and fulfillment needs to Jillamy, businesses can seize new opportunities, mitigate risks, and move forward confidently in an ever-evolving global trade landscape.


The trade relationship between Mexico, the US, and China is constantly evolving, and businesses must stay informed about the latest trends and projections to remain competitive. With the rise of e-commerce, the impact of tariffs and trade tensions, and the importance of efficient supply chains, import freight and logistics will play a crucial role in Mexico-US-China trade in the coming years.

By diversifying supply chains, investing in technology, and partnering with reliable import freight and logistics providers, businesses can prepare for the future of global trade and ensure their success in this ever-changing landscape.

For businesses seeking to optimize their import freight and logistics strategies, partnering with a trusted provider like Jillamy Logistics can offer tailored solutions to navigate the complexities of global trade. Contact us today to learn how we can support your supply chain needs and help you stay competitive in the evolving Mexico-US-China trade landscape.

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